Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000099 0.000109 0.000120 0.000132 0.000145 0.000160 0.000177
2026-02-01 0.000079 0.000094 0.000110 0.000131 0.000156 0.000185 0.000222
2026-02-08 0.000066 0.000083 0.000103 0.000129 0.000162 0.000204 0.000260
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000074 0.000096 0.000126 0.000166 0.000219 0.000294
2026-02-22 0.000051 0.000069 0.000093 0.000127 0.000175 0.000240 0.000337
2026-03-01 0.000048 0.000066 0.000092 0.000129 0.000185 0.000263 0.000386
2026-03-08 0.000043 0.000061 0.000087 0.000126 0.000186 0.000274 0.000418
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000056 0.000082 0.000122 0.000185 0.000281 0.000443
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000054 0.000080 0.000123 0.000192 0.000301 0.000491
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000052 0.000079 0.000125 0.000200 0.000322 0.000542
2026-04-05 0.000031 0.000049 0.000076 0.000122 0.000201 0.000334 0.000578
2026-04-12 0.000029 0.000047 0.000074 0.000122 0.000206 0.000350 0.000626
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000120 0.000208 0.000362 0.000667
2026-04-26 0.000025 0.000042 0.000070 0.000120 0.000213 0.000382 0.000724
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000040 0.000067 0.000118 0.000215 0.000394 0.000771
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000037 0.000064 0.000116 0.000214 0.000403 0.000811
2026-05-17 0.000021 0.000036 0.000063 0.000117 0.000221 0.000427 0.000884
2026-05-24 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000119 0.000231 0.000457 0.000974
2026-05-31 0.000019 0.000033 0.000061 0.000116 0.000230 0.000465 0.001017
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000031 0.000058 0.000112 0.000226 0.000467 0.001047
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000031 0.000057 0.000113 0.000233 0.000492 0.001134
2026-06-21 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000114 0.000241 0.000520 0.001230
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000029 0.000055 0.000113 0.000241 0.000531 0.001288